May 14, 2025

Millions of Floridians With Marketplace Insurance and Those Who Receive Insurance Through Medicaid at Risk for Health Care Coverage Loss Under Advancing House Budget

More Than 4 Million Floridians Could See Health Care Premiums Spike

Hospital Funding Restrictions Would Put Florida Medicaid Program, Rural Hospitals at Risk for Cuts


STATEWIDE, Fla.  - At least 13.7 million more Americans would be uninsured by 2034 under the U.S. House’s budget recommendations, according to a preliminary estimate by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The House Energy and Commerce Committee passed a bill today — part of the reconciliation process — which includes at least $715 billion in health care cuts over the next 10 years. Additionally, the House Ways and Means Committee advanced its portion of the reconciliation process with a bill that neglected to extend the ACA Marketplace enhanced premium tax credits.

Massive federal cuts to health care (and food assistance) are being pushed by congressional leaders to “offset” trillions in tax cuts, including hundreds of billions for wealthy households.

The House proposes, among other recommendations:

  • Letting the enhanced Marketplace premium tax credit expire after 2025
  • Banning any new Medicaid provider taxes — a cornerstone of Florida hospital and nursing home funding— and prohibiting states from increasing current provider taxes
  • Prospectively ending the temporary 5% enhanced federal match incentive established under the American Rescue Plan (ARPA) for states that newly expand Medicaid.


House Recommends Restricting Provider Taxes

The House Energy and Commerce Committee bill proposes prohibiting new provider taxes and any increases in current provider taxes, which help to finance the state’s share of the Medicaid program.

As a state that has not expanded its Medicaid program, forgoing billions in federal Medicaid funding each year, Florida relies heavily on provider tax payments to draw federal funding to make up the gap. Currently, Florida imposes three types of provider taxes: hospitals, intermediate care facilities for individuals with intellectual disabilities (ICF/ID), and nursing homes. The latest reported data from 2016 showed that Florida’s nursing and ICF/ID taxes were above 5.5%. In 2018, $2.4 billion of Florida’s total Medicaid Payments were financed with provider taxes and local government funds.

Restricting Florida’s ability to impose or increase these taxes would decrease the state’s ability to close the financing gap for the Medicaid program. Issues like this cause states to take harmful measures to balance budgets such as reducing eligibility, limiting benefits, or reducing already low payment rates for healthcare providers.

Health care premiums for over 4 million Floridians could increase under House budget recommendations

The House Ways and Means Committee also met yesterday; it passed a budget reconciliation bill which neglected to extend enhancements to the ACA Marketplace premium tax credits. Florida has more people who receive their health insurance through the ACA Marketplace than any other state.  

Before the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA), people who were enrolled in the Marketplace with household incomes between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level (FPL) qualified for Advanced Premium Tax Credits (APTCs), which made their coverage more affordable throughout the year.  Individuals could opt for the Marketplace to send a tax credit directly to their  insurance company and pay less each month for their premiums. During the COVID 19 pandemic in 2021, ARPA increased these subsidized payments and included a provision that increased the income limits so that those with household incomes above 400% FPL could take advantage of these APTCs. The 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) extended these subsidies through 2025.  

Under current law, these provisions are set to expire at the end of 2025, meaning that over 4 million Floridians who use Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace subsidies to purchase health care insurance could see their premiums increase.

In Florida, without these expanded subsidies, average premium payments would increase 90%, from $588 to $1,116 per year. For those above the federal poverty level, such as a family of four with $126,000 in household income (403% FPL), premiums would increase by $9,049 annually.

“Our state’s representatives in Congress should be working to ensure that more Floridians are able to access health care coverage,” said Sadaf Knight, CEO of FPI. “Florida already has one of the highest shares of uninsured residents in the nation. The proposed cuts will exacerbate current issues with access to affordable health care coverage, pushing even more families below the poverty line. Allowing the premium tax credit enhancements to expire will devastate Florida more than any other state in the nation — premiums for over 4 million Floridians who rely on Marketplace coverage will skyrocket, causing widespread financial harm, a significant spike in our uninsured rate, and adverse health outcomes.”

“Florida's Medicaid program is one of the country's least expansive,”  said Alison Yager, executive director of Florida Health Justice Project. “This means that any cuts will be felt directly by our neediest residents. Our representatives must do everything within their power to push back in defense of their constituents.”

“As health care advocates in Florida, we know that health care isn’t political. But the plan to gut Medicaid has politics written all over it and will just end up hurting the people who need it the most,” said Scott Darius, executive director of Florida Voices for Health.

"With an estimated 27% of Miami-Dade County residents enrolled in Medicaid and 41% of children enrolled in CHIP, we see the dire need for this program on a daily basis as we help our clients who depend on this coverage,” said Zelalem Adefris, CEO of Catalyst Miami. “Unfortunately, we have seen firsthand the results of those in need not getting needed care with some of our clients losing limbs and their eyesight. This is preventable and we now have an opportunity to prevent further suffering by not making any cuts to this vital program."

House proposal would end the temporary enhanced federal match for states that expand Medicaid

Medicaid is jointly funded by state and federal dollars. Currently, Florida receives $1.33 in federal funds for every dollar spent on Medicaid. Florida’s current Federal Match Rate (FMAP) is 57.2%. Due to the Affordable Care Act, states have the option to expand their medicaid programs to adults aged 19-64 with income below 138% FPL. States that do this receive a 90% FMAP for this expansion population. Expanding Medicaid would bring approximately $14.3 billion in new federal dollars to Florida over a five-year period. Researchers project state general revenue savings in the range of $198.9 million annually to $385 million over a five year period. In addition to this FMAP increase with expansion, the American Rescue Plan (ARPA) established a temporary 5% federal match to incentivize states that newly expand Medicaid in 2021. If Florida chose to expand Medicaid with this option, it could access another $2.8 billion in federal dollars over the next two years.  The additional federal funding could go towards addressing other health priorities in the state, like access to providers.

The bill passed by the Energy and Commerce Committee would end the temporary 5% enhanced federal match incentive.  

“While millions of working families, especially Hispanic ones, brace for a recession because of the Trump Administration’s agenda, Republicans in Florida’s congressional delegation are pushing cuts to Medicaid and SNAP instead of a real plan to lower costs,” said Jared Nordlund, Florida state director at UnidosUS. “Voters deserve solutions, not fuzzy math and creative accounting to fund billionaire tax breaks and mansions for their 37 Barbie dolls while saddling American taxpayers with more of their debt. If anything needs explaining, it’s why GOP congressional leaders are selling out American workers."

“Cutting Medicaid to pay for tax breaks for billionaires isn’t just immoral, it’s counterproductive,” said Coy Jones, political director at 1199SEIU. “It will increase the number of uninsured and force more people to forgo preventive care which typically is less expensive than going to a hospital emergency room. Politicians should not play politics with their constituents’ lives. It’s time for lawmakers to put people first and reject legislation that cuts Medicaid and the federal food assistance program, SNAP, because both health care and nutritious food are essential to the well-being of all people.”

The full House is slated to vote on its recommended budget by Memorial Day.

FPI is an independent, nonpartisan and nonprofit organization dedicated to advancing state policies and budgets that improve the economic mobility and quality of life for all Floridians.

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